FP-5 FLAMINGO UPDATE

#UkrainianView
FP-5 Flamingo is now just a month from IOC, and Ukraine starts to exceed Russian capabilities, it’s a watershed moment in the war as a whole. Meanwhile Russian system fail as budgets are slashed.

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UKRAINE WILL WIN

The analysis highlights Trump’s inadequate support for Ukraine, contrasting it with the critical impacts of US military aid. Despite past defeats, Ukraine is now better equipped and poised for victory, thanks to increased assistance and innovative strategies.

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WHY RUSSIA WON’T WIN

The post discusses Russia’s significant military challenges in Ukraine and its dwindling resources, contrasting historical perceptions of Russian power with current failures. It predicts Ukraine’s eventual victory, citing international support and Russia’s declining position.

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WHO IS WINNING THE WAR?

The analysis outlines the complexities of the Ukraine-Russia war, highlighting Ukraine’s initial victories, subsequent setbacks, and evolving challenges. It emphasizes Russia’s economic decline and Ukraine’s resilient strategies, forecasting Russia’s eventual collapse despite territorial gains.

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FLASHPOINT: TANKER TENSIONS

Western sanctions have successfully targeted over 700 Russian grey fleet tankers, significantly impacting oil exports. Despite risks, Russia may engage more aggressively to safeguard these vessels, highlighting broader economic vulnerabilities and reduced operational capacity.

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THE EQUALIZATION OF POWER

The past 25 years revealed numerous US military blunders, with implications seen in Ukraine and the Houthis. Advances in technology have shifted power dynamics, demonstrating vulnerabilities in traditional military strengths and challenging the status quo of great power superiority.

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WHAT NEXT FOR UKRAINE?

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine continues. Russian drone & missile attacks targeting civilians increase. Ukraine is improving its defenses, producing equipment domestically, and maintaining resilience, while navigating complex international dynamics, including U.S. politics and support.

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RUSSIA’S NEXT WAR?

Russia is militarizing its border with NATO, preparing for potential conflicts while maintaining ambitions for expansion. Bolstered by an aggressive economy, it seeks test case wars, notably in the Baltic, to gauge NATO’s response and exploit perceived weaknesses.

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UKRAINE CAN WIN

Talks in Saudi Arabia aim to resolve the ongoing war, but both Russia and Ukraine remain deadlocked. Ukraine’s prolonged strategies focus on gaining time and resource depletion, fully supported by Europe+ like never before. Ignoring them is a huge strategic error.

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UKRAINE’S OIL WAR ON RUSSIA

Ukraine’s recent drone attacks on Russian oil refineries have significantly disrupted Russia’s oil processing capacity, compromising military logistics, and raising domestic unrest. Simultaneously, sanctions exacerbate Russia’s economic vulnerability and highlight defense shortcomings amidst winter challenges.

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KURSK COUNTER OFFENSIVE!

Ukrainian forces launched counterattacks in Kursk Oblast, utilizing coordinated ground tactics and advanced drone operations, while facing Russian counteroffensives. This dynamic situation suggests potential strategic significance for both sides, with implications for future military engagement.

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VICTORY? I THINK NOT

The ongoing war in Ukraine has seen significant Russian losses and failed strategies despite Putin’s claims of progress. The situation reflects increasing desperation and state control in Russia, with dire economic consequences even as Putin celebrates.

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RUSSIA MAKES THINGS WORSE

Russia has shifted from mobilization to financial inducements for military recruitment, offering high initial contracts but slashing compensation for injuries and deaths, creating economic distortion and societal divisions amid rising troop casualties, revealing systemic weaknesses.

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PUTIN UNDER PRESSURE

Putin’ aimed to project stability amidst economic turmoil, revealing inflation concerns and interest rates maintained at 21%. War has exacerbated issues, affecting transport and manufacturing. Public pressure mounts as realities of conflict worsen.

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RUSSIAN OIL DISASTER

The sinking of outdated Russian tankers in the Black Sea highlights dangerous maritime practices amid the war in Ukraine, exposing environmental and economic risks while illustrating Russia’s deep reliance on an aging fleet for oil transport.

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PUTIN’S RUSSIA WILL FALL

The article discusses the mounting internal and external pressures on the Russian regime, highlighting economic decline, military shortcomings, and geopolitical isolation. It concludes that awareness of these issues may lead to significant changes in Russia’s future.

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WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 3

In this last segment I want to look at three issues that will determine if China can even mount an invasion of Taiwan. China is economically in the worst position it’s been in since 1980. The property market, at one point driving 25% of its GDP has fallen into collapse. Giant property companies like Evergrand […]

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WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 2

The relationship between the U.S. and China reflects trade imbalances, tariffs, and strategic conflicts, with China leveraging its economic power globally while expanding its military capabilities and rare earth element control, posing significant challenges for American competitiveness and security.

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WAR IN THE PACIFIC? Part 1

The US-China relationship is marked by economic interdependence and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly over Taiwan and the South China Sea. With the US enhancing military presence and weapons systems in the region, the situation remains precarious.

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