WHO IS WINNING THE WAR?

The analysis outlines the complexities of the Ukraine-Russia war, highlighting Ukraine’s initial victories, subsequent setbacks, and evolving challenges. It emphasizes Russia’s economic decline and Ukraine’s resilient strategies, forecasting Russia’s eventual collapse despite territorial gains.

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THE EQUALIZATION OF POWER

The past 25 years revealed numerous US military blunders, with implications seen in Ukraine and the Houthis. Advances in technology have shifted power dynamics, demonstrating vulnerabilities in traditional military strengths and challenging the status quo of great power superiority.

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UKRAINE CAN WIN

Talks in Saudi Arabia aim to resolve the ongoing war, but both Russia and Ukraine remain deadlocked. Ukraine’s prolonged strategies focus on gaining time and resource depletion, fully supported by Europe+ like never before. Ignoring them is a huge strategic error.

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IS AUKUS STILL VIABLE?

The situation in Ukraine raises questions about American reliability in military alliances. Australia may reconsider their dependence on the US amidst procurement issues and changing geopolitical dynamics, debating alternatives for submarine programs and technological collaborations.

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UKRAINIAN DETERRENCE

The content discusses various levels of deterrence in the Ukraine-Russia conflict, highlighting Ukraine’s effective strategies, such as naval operations and attacks on Crimea, which have significantly altered Russia’s military posture and capabilities.

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WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 3

In this last segment I want to look at three issues that will determine if China can even mount an invasion of Taiwan. China is economically in the worst position it’s been in since 1980. The property market, at one point driving 25% of its GDP has fallen into collapse. Giant property companies like Evergrand […]

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WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 2

The relationship between the U.S. and China reflects trade imbalances, tariffs, and strategic conflicts, with China leveraging its economic power globally while expanding its military capabilities and rare earth element control, posing significant challenges for American competitiveness and security.

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WAR IN THE PACIFIC? Part 1

The US-China relationship is marked by economic interdependence and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly over Taiwan and the South China Sea. With the US enhancing military presence and weapons systems in the region, the situation remains precarious.

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