END OF AN ERA: US NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY PRO RUSSIA, ANTI EUROPE

The U.S. National Security Strategy document has sparked outrage among some GOP senators for neglecting Russia as a threat and vilifying democratic Europe. The policy signals a stark shift to isolationism and a radical undermining of NATO.

ONE WEAPON COULD CHANGE EVERYTHING FOR UKRAINE; & ITS RUSSIAN

The Russian Novotor cruise missile has a history that if Ukraine plays its cards well, could see it equipped with Tomahawks, but is also a threat to NATO

RUSSIA’S NUCLEAR LUNACY

The Russians measure their worth by nuclear weapons. They have done for nearly 80 years. It merely masks their innate inadequacies. Yet its the most dangerous and potentially worrying aspect of their approach to the world around them.

POST-WAR RUSSIA: A SCENARIO

Putin is dead, the regime paralyzed, which of the former empire’s republics will rush for independence?

CHINA: THE THREAT IS REAL

The threat from China and its single minded approach to produce the war equipment it needs to win against the US & its allies in the event of a conflict over Taiwan is a stark contrast to America. How is America ever expecting to save Taiwan?

DOES THE SSBN STILL MAKE SENSE?

The article discusses the evolving debate surrounding the necessity and effectiveness of nuclear-powered submarines (SSBNs) in the context of advancing drone technology, highlighting their costs, strategic value, and potential obsolescence in future warfare scenarios.

AUKUS AT A CROSSROADS?

The AUKUS submarine deal faces uncertainty as the US struggles with its own submarine production goals. Australia risks a significant gap in defense capabilities, potentially delaying operational nuclear submarines until the late 2030s or longer.

IMPACT OF THE NORTHWOOD DECLARATION on European Security

The Northwood Declaration, signed by Macron and Starmer, establishes a significant Anglo-French nuclear partnership, affirming joint defense commitments in response to threats, while emphasizing independent capabilities. This strengthens Europe’s security amid changing global alliances and addresses Russian aggression.

IRAN: WHO WON? LONG TERM CONSEQUENCES

Who won the Iran-Israel conflict? What lessons have been learned and are they the right ones? The world enters a dangerous phase in human existence, stress at every point could lead to dangerous conflict almost anywhere.

Reimagining NATO: Can Europe Stand Alone?

The NATO summit prompted reflection on NATO’s future, revealing vulnerabilities and lessons learned regarding military readiness. The necessity for European self-reliance and a choice between continued reliance on the U.S. or a new path for defense strategy is emphasized.

UK SUBMARINES & AUKUS: A NAVAL REVOLUTION?

The UK strategic defense review outlines ambitious plans for up to 12 AUKUS submarines, facing challenges like production capacity, financial constraints, and recruitment that could hinder timely implementation amid increasing global threats and the need for naval modernization.

Deterrence Evolving: Nuclear, CYBER & AI

The evolving nature of deterrence in cyber warfare and nuclear capabilities is creating complexities previously unimagined. With AI integration, nations face challenges in maintaining stability, as the potential for catastrophic conflict increases and human control diminishes.

THE EQUALIZATION OF POWER

The past 25 years revealed numerous US military blunders, with implications seen in Ukraine and the Houthis. Advances in technology have shifted power dynamics, demonstrating vulnerabilities in traditional military strengths and challenging the status quo of great power superiority.

GLOBAL OVERVIEW: CHANGE & CONFLICT

The 80th anniversary of WW2’s end highlights America’s decline and Russia’s facade of strength amidst internal turmoil. Global conflicts persist, with Europe possibly rising to fill the power vacuum left by the faltering U.S.

EUROPE+ LOOKS TO LONG RANGE WEAPONS

The Ukraine war highlights the necessity of long-range weapons, prompting NATO and Europe+ nations to enhance their strategic arsenals. Collaborative projects like ELSA aim to develop effective systems, demonstrating urgency and cooperation amid evolving threats.

DISENGAGING AMERICA: NATO

The Western world is split on disengaging from the US, with Japan and South Korea relying on American protection against China, while Europe+ faces challenges with Russia. The argument emphasizes Europe’s need for self-reliance and a restructured NATO without US control.

ARMING EUROPE? CAN IT GO IT ALONE?

European defense manufacturers are thriving due to distrust in the US under Trump, prompting a shift towards domestic military procurement. The EU plans to invest €800 billion, enhancing economic growth and defense capabilities across member states.

THE GREAT BETRAYAL: IT’S ALL ABOUT CHINA

Kissinger knew what was doing in 1971, peeling a disgruntled China from Soviet power was relatively simple. Trump hasn’t a clue what he’s doing trying to peel Russia from China in todays radically shifted geopolitical world.

NUKES ARE THE ANSWER – MANY SEE NO CHOICE

The return of Cold War tensions is disappointing, with nations like Poland considering nuclear arms due to distrust in American support. As global dynamics shift, nuclear proliferation may increase, posing serious implications for future security.

THE WORLD HAS CHANGED FOREVER

The article argues that the global order has drastically shifted, particularly after the U.S. presidency’s failure to maintain alliances and uphold democracy. The author emphasizes the need for resilience and cooperation among allies in facing new geopolitical challenges.

THE NUCLEAR PROBLEM: EUROPE, UKRAINE & US WITHDRAWAL

The potential U.S. military withdrawal from Europe raises concerns about nuclear deterrence, necessitating European collaboration. France and the UK may need to integrate their nuclear capabilities, while Ukraine contemplates developing its own deterrent amid ongoing threats.

47 UPENDS DECADES OF NUCLEAR DOCTRINE

The “Iron Dome for America” Executive Order mandates a comprehensive missile defense system, reflecting significant defense ambitions. This escalation intensifies the nuclear arms race, motivating countries like Russia and China to expand their arsenals, heightening global tensions.

CHINA: TAIWAN INVASION IS INEVITABLE

The Chinese military is rapidly advancing towards an invasion capability of Taiwan, driven by economic turmoil, with military preparation expected to peak by 2027. Taiwan’s defenses face substantial challenges amid growing geopolitical tensions.

UKRAINIAN DETERRENCE

The content discusses various levels of deterrence in the Ukraine-Russia conflict, highlighting Ukraine’s effective strategies, such as naval operations and attacks on Crimea, which have significantly altered Russia’s military posture and capabilities.

NK TROOPS IN RUSSIA: A NEW THREAT TO EUROPE?

North Korean soldiers are observed fighting in Russia, displaying poor training and motivation. Questions arise about Western responses to this development, sanctions on NK, and potential future complications if troops enter Ukraine.

US LONG RANGE STRIKE STRATEGY

China and Russia’s advancements in hypersonic weapons have shifted military strategies, prompting the U.S. to develop systems like Dark Eagle for deterrence against emerging threats, particularly in the Pacific and Europe.

WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 3

In this last segment I want to look at three issues that will determine if China can even mount an invasion of Taiwan. China is economically in the worst position it’s been in since 1980. The property market, at one point driving 25% of its GDP has fallen into collapse. Giant property companies like Evergrand […]

WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 2

The relationship between the U.S. and China reflects trade imbalances, tariffs, and strategic conflicts, with China leveraging its economic power globally while expanding its military capabilities and rare earth element control, posing significant challenges for American competitiveness and security.

WAR IN THE PACIFIC? Part 1

The US-China relationship is marked by economic interdependence and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly over Taiwan and the South China Sea. With the US enhancing military presence and weapons systems in the region, the situation remains precarious.

STRATEGIC SHIFT: FROM THE V2 TO THE ORESHNIK IRBM

The development of ballistic missiles, from Nazi Germany’s V2 to modern nuclear strategies, reflects a complex arms race involving technological advancements, military doctrines, and international treaties, ultimately leading to a precarious balance of power and ongoing tensions between global powers.

UKRAINE’S DEFENCE STRATEGIES AGAINST IRBM MISSILES

What can Ukraine use to defend itself from IRBM type missiles? First of all we have to look at what the Russians are using. It appears to be a derivative of the RS-26 Rubezh missile the Russians are calling Orezhnik. This appears to be the upper two propulsion stages and the warhead bus. In range […]

UKRAINE COUNTER ATTACKS AS RUSSIAN OFFENSIVES SLOW

The weather has worsened. Russian casualty figures have dropped to their lowest in weeks. Daylight hours are approaching minimum. The cold is having its effect especially on the notoriously poorly equipped Russians. Over the past couple of days the Ukrainians have pulled off a brilliant counter attack, slicing off the Russian pincer move in the […]

THE RS26 RUBEZH IRBM

RS-26 Rubezh Overview The RS-26 Rubezh, also known as SS-X-31, (the x designates NATO considers it an experiment missile), is a Russian intercontinental ballistic missile in theory but an IRBM in practice, developed by the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology. It is a road-mobile, solid-fueled missile designed for strategic nuclear deterrence and high-precision strikes on […]