2025: THE YEAR THE WAR RADICALLY CHANGED

The war has changed dramatically, from the main players, to the politics, to the battlefield. But perhaps more than ever on the strategic economic front where Russia is bleeding slowly to death.

FP-5 FLAMINGO UPDATE

#UkrainianView
FP-5 Flamingo is now just a month from IOC, and Ukraine starts to exceed Russian capabilities, it’s a watershed moment in the war as a whole. Meanwhile Russian system fail as budgets are slashed.

WHY UKRAINE WILL WIN & RUSSIA WILL LOSE

The post argues that Ukraine’s alliance with Western nations has strengthened its military capabilities against Russia, whose failures in industry and true alliances are evident. Ukraine’s innovation positions it to emerge as a major power in Europe post-war.

THE CRIMEA GAMBIT: UKRAINE’S STRATEGY FOR ITS RETURN

Ukraine has carried out a successful war against the Russians across Crimea, effectively neutralizing it as an operating military resource and attritting countless russian weapons and EW/radar systems at low cost. Its eventual return is the goal.

SOMETHING IS CHANGING AND RUSSIA IS LOSING

The situation in Russia is changing and I believe the war is now lost. They must now be convinced they’ve been defeated, and bring it to an end.

KINETIC SANCTIONS & ECONOMIC STRIFE

Russian’s are feeling the impact of Ukraine’s strategic strikes, the oil industry is in a mess and Russia increasingly desperate to stop the situation getting out of control.

UKRAINE’S NEW WEAPONS: RUSSIA, BE AFRAID!

Ukraine is about to receive some key weapons systems that are going to have a serious impact on the war against Russian aggression. The tables are turning.

CRISIS? WHAT CRISIS? PUTIN DOUBLES DOWN

The Russian government is attempting to conceal a looming financial crisis through restrictive laws on economic data. Defaults on loans are surging, and while trying to manage perceptions, the economic situation worsens, revealing deep inequities and a collapsing economy.

PUTIN’S REGIME STARTS TO CRACK

Putin’s regime is facing multiple issues simultaneously, a long expected series of events that show the regime is making mistakes and Putin is not as strong as western observers think he is.

PUTIN’S WEAKEST MOMENT TELLS US THE END IS COMING

Putin’s recent address highlights his concerns about Russia’s deteriorating war, economic situation, and public discontent. His proposed defense spending cuts appear as empty promises, reflecting his fear of losing support amid growing hardships for citizens.

WHY RUSSIA WON’T WIN

The post discusses Russia’s significant military challenges in Ukraine and its dwindling resources, contrasting historical perceptions of Russian power with current failures. It predicts Ukraine’s eventual victory, citing international support and Russia’s declining position.

WHO IS WINNING THE WAR?

The analysis outlines the complexities of the Ukraine-Russia war, highlighting Ukraine’s initial victories, subsequent setbacks, and evolving challenges. It emphasizes Russia’s economic decline and Ukraine’s resilient strategies, forecasting Russia’s eventual collapse despite territorial gains.

FLASHPOINT: TANKER TENSIONS

Western sanctions have successfully targeted over 700 Russian grey fleet tankers, significantly impacting oil exports. Despite risks, Russia may engage more aggressively to safeguard these vessels, highlighting broader economic vulnerabilities and reduced operational capacity.

GLOBAL OVERVIEW: CHANGE & CONFLICT

The 80th anniversary of WW2’s end highlights America’s decline and Russia’s facade of strength amidst internal turmoil. Global conflicts persist, with Europe possibly rising to fill the power vacuum left by the faltering U.S.

RUSSIAN ECONOMIC UPDATE: ITS GETTING WORSE

Russian finances are deteriorating, marked by a sharp decline in oil revenue, presenting a $26.77 billion deficit. Inflation continues to rise, worsened by a manipulated ruble. Without intervention, Russia faces bankruptcy and severe economic collapse.

UKRAINE CAN WIN

Talks in Saudi Arabia aim to resolve the ongoing war, but both Russia and Ukraine remain deadlocked. Ukraine’s prolonged strategies focus on gaining time and resource depletion, fully supported by Europe+ like never before. Ignoring them is a huge strategic error.

TOTAL FAILURE: THE ART OF NO DEAL

Trump’s failure to negotiate effectively with Putin led to minimal gains for Ukraine and significant concessions to Russia. Despite this, Ukraine’s resilience and Europe’s support signal a potential shift, indicating a stronger future for Ukraine.

THE NOT SO ROCKY ROAD AHEAD FOR UKRAINE

The U.S. aims for peace with Russia, compromising Ukraine’s military support. Ukraine, while producing more arms domestically, struggles without American intelligence. European backing remains strong, but the future is uncertain amidst ongoing pressures and demands.

UKRAINE’S OIL WAR ON RUSSIA

Ukraine’s recent drone attacks on Russian oil refineries have significantly disrupted Russia’s oil processing capacity, compromising military logistics, and raising domestic unrest. Simultaneously, sanctions exacerbate Russia’s economic vulnerability and highlight defense shortcomings amidst winter challenges.

ROCKY ROAD TO A ‘PEACE DEAL’

The US Administration has tasked Ambassador Keith Kellog with negotiating peace in Ukraine within 100 days. While Russia believes it can achieve breakthroughs by autumn, significant economic challenges may affect Putin’s decisions amidst mounting pressure and potential sanctions from the US.

PUTIN UNDER PRESSURE

Putin’ aimed to project stability amidst economic turmoil, revealing inflation concerns and interest rates maintained at 21%. War has exacerbated issues, affecting transport and manufacturing. Public pressure mounts as realities of conflict worsen.

RUSSIAN OIL DISASTER

The sinking of outdated Russian tankers in the Black Sea highlights dangerous maritime practices amid the war in Ukraine, exposing environmental and economic risks while illustrating Russia’s deep reliance on an aging fleet for oil transport.