The war has changed dramatically, from the main players, to the politics, to the battlefield. But perhaps more than ever on the strategic economic front where Russia is bleeding slowly to death.
Read More 2025: THE YEAR THE WAR RADICALLY CHANGEDThe U.S. National Security Strategy document has sparked outrage among some GOP senators for neglecting Russia as a threat and vilifying democratic Europe. The policy signals a stark shift to isolationism and a radical undermining of NATO.
Read More END OF AN ERA: US NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY PRO RUSSIA, ANTI EUROPEThe article discusses Europe’s challenges in supporting Ukraine if U.S. aid ceases, emphasizing the need for cooperation in defense capabilities, intelligence sharing, and military supplies, while addressing procurement issues and evolving warfare demands for long-term security.
Read More SUPPORTING UKRAINE WITHOUT AMERICA#UkrainianView
FP-5 Flamingo is now just a month from IOC, and Ukraine starts to exceed Russian capabilities, it’s a watershed moment in the war as a whole. Meanwhile Russian system fail as budgets are slashed.
Selling off the gold reserves is a sign of severe economic distress, and there’s no way to normalize such a move. Russian & Putin are nearing end game and the oligarchs know it.
Read More GOLD: THE LAST GAMBLE OF A DESPERATE RUSSIAVladimir Putin is a manipulator, using tactics of distraction and misdirection to achieve his goals. The recent ‘peace deal’ talks and complexities surrounding U.S. sanctions against Russia illustrate a calculated effort to maintain control and avoid serious repercussions, primarily influenced by Donald Trump’s actions.
Read More WHY? PEACE PLANS, LEAKS & PUTIN’S GAMEPrinciples matter, they are the core of everything. If we don’t abide by our own, what are we? Not just as individuals but as nations. Ukraine stands on principle and so must we.
How this mess of a peace document happened is as much about a lack of them, as fighting it is about keeping to them.
The Russian Novotor cruise missile has a history that if Ukraine plays its cards well, could see it equipped with Tomahawks, but is also a threat to NATO
Read More ONE WEAPON COULD CHANGE EVERYTHING FOR UKRAINE; & ITS RUSSIANRussia expanded control over Kazakhstan during the 18th and 19th centuries, leading to its incorporation into the USSR. After gaining independence in 1991, Kazakhstan now diversifies geopolitical relations away from Russia, seeking partnerships with the U.S. amid Russia’s declining influence.
Read More THE ‘STAN’ GAMBIT: RUSSIAN POWER FADES AWAYPutin is dead, the regime paralyzed, which of the former empire’s republics will rush for independence?
Read More POST-WAR RUSSIA: A SCENARIOThe post argues that Ukraine’s alliance with Western nations has strengthened its military capabilities against Russia, whose failures in industry and true alliances are evident. Ukraine’s innovation positions it to emerge as a major power in Europe post-war.
Read More WHY UKRAINE WILL WIN & RUSSIA WILL LOSEUkraine has carried out a successful war against the Russians across Crimea, effectively neutralizing it as an operating military resource and attritting countless russian weapons and EW/radar systems at low cost. Its eventual return is the goal.
Read More THE CRIMEA GAMBIT: UKRAINE’S STRATEGY FOR ITS RETURNThe situation in Russia is changing and I believe the war is now lost. They must now be convinced they’ve been defeated, and bring it to an end.
Read More SOMETHING IS CHANGING AND RUSSIA IS LOSINGEurope must decide to shoot down Russian aircraft that blatantly enter NATO airspace and make it clear to Russia we intend to do so. This is why…
Read More NATO: STANDING UP TO PUTINCorruption is endemic in Russia’s military. The FSB uses it to further Putin’s own ends and ensure his survival.
Read More POWER & CORRUPTION IN THE RUSSIAN ARMY: THE FSB IS KINGRussian’s are feeling the impact of Ukraine’s strategic strikes, the oil industry is in a mess and Russia increasingly desperate to stop the situation getting out of control.
Read More KINETIC SANCTIONS & ECONOMIC STRIFEUkraine is about to receive some key weapons systems that are going to have a serious impact on the war against Russian aggression. The tables are turning.
Read More UKRAINE’S NEW WEAPONS: RUSSIA, BE AFRAID!The post discusses the doom cycle of Russia’s population collapse, the ethnic disparities and Russia’s self identity, now in danger. Putin’s regime has created a dire predicament there’s no coming back from.
Read More RUSSIA IS DYING & THERE’S NO GOING BACKRussias Army is in a ruinous state, held together by fear, bribery and corruption.It must surely break under its own failures and basic inhumanity. Morally bankrupt and brutal, it’s creaking under the weight of its own mismanagement.
Read More RUSSIA’S ARMY: CORRUPTION, BARBARITY & INCENTIVISED TO FAILThe threat from China and its single minded approach to produce the war equipment it needs to win against the US & its allies in the event of a conflict over Taiwan is a stark contrast to America. How is America ever expecting to save Taiwan?
Read More CHINA: THE THREAT IS REALThe Russian government is attempting to conceal a looming financial crisis through restrictive laws on economic data. Defaults on loans are surging, and while trying to manage perceptions, the economic situation worsens, revealing deep inequities and a collapsing economy.
Read More CRISIS? WHAT CRISIS? PUTIN DOUBLES DOWNThe analysis highlights Trump’s inadequate support for Ukraine, contrasting it with the critical impacts of US military aid. Despite past defeats, Ukraine is now better equipped and poised for victory, thanks to increased assistance and innovative strategies.
Read More UKRAINE WILL WINTump blew hard but did next to nothing to help Ukraine, leaving Russia almost a four month window to exploit. Moscow rejoiced at the weak response over sanctions, but the weapons on the way to Ukraine can only hurt Russia even more.
Read More TRUMP UNDER PRESSURE DOES THE MINIMUMPutin has placed himself at the centre of a web of lies and unreality, cut off from ‘real’ life and obsessed with his legacy and winning the war he started. He rejected peace and now is trapped in doom cycle of his own making.
Read More PUTIN: TRAPPED WITH NOWHERE TO GOPutin’s regime is facing multiple issues simultaneously, a long expected series of events that show the regime is making mistakes and Putin is not as strong as western observers think he is.
Read More PUTIN’S REGIME STARTS TO CRACKPutin’s recent address highlights his concerns about Russia’s deteriorating war, economic situation, and public discontent. His proposed defense spending cuts appear as empty promises, reflecting his fear of losing support amid growing hardships for citizens.
Read More PUTIN’S WEAKEST MOMENT TELLS US THE END IS COMINGThe NATO summit prompted reflection on NATO’s future, revealing vulnerabilities and lessons learned regarding military readiness. The necessity for European self-reliance and a choice between continued reliance on the U.S. or a new path for defense strategy is emphasized.
Read More Reimagining NATO: Can Europe Stand Alone?Russia’s economy is in deep trouble, with high inflation, collapsing industries, and a banking sector on the brink of insolvency. A looming financial crisis threatens stability, exacerbated by unsustainable government spending and the war’s consequences.
Read More RUSSIA’S ECONOMY: BRACE FOR IMPACTRussia’s summer offensive has faltered, facing logistical issues, outdated artillery, and significant troop losses. While Ukrainian forces continue to hold their ground, Russia struggles with supply and morale, leading to dire circumstances for its soldiers.
Read More UKRAINE HOLDS BACK RUSSIAN OFFENSIVESThe post discusses Russia’s significant military challenges in Ukraine and its dwindling resources, contrasting historical perceptions of Russian power with current failures. It predicts Ukraine’s eventual victory, citing international support and Russia’s declining position.
Read More WHY RUSSIA WON’T WINThe analysis outlines the complexities of the Ukraine-Russia war, highlighting Ukraine’s initial victories, subsequent setbacks, and evolving challenges. It emphasizes Russia’s economic decline and Ukraine’s resilient strategies, forecasting Russia’s eventual collapse despite territorial gains.
Read More WHO IS WINNING THE WAR?The UK strategic defense review outlines ambitious plans for up to 12 AUKUS submarines, facing challenges like production capacity, financial constraints, and recruitment that could hinder timely implementation amid increasing global threats and the need for naval modernization.
Read More UK SUBMARINES & AUKUS: A NAVAL REVOLUTION?Ukraine’s innovative drone operations have significantly impacted modern warfare, attacking Russian strategic aviation with unprecedented effectiveness. Such bold tactics could inspire similar actions globally, urging nations to reconsider their defense strategies against unexpected threats.
Read More TRANSFORMER:UKRAINE CHANGES WARFARE AGAINThe evolving nature of deterrence in cyber warfare and nuclear capabilities is creating complexities previously unimagined. With AI integration, nations face challenges in maintaining stability, as the potential for catastrophic conflict increases and human control diminishes.
Read More Deterrence Evolving: Nuclear, CYBER & AIWestern sanctions have successfully targeted over 700 Russian grey fleet tankers, significantly impacting oil exports. Despite risks, Russia may engage more aggressively to safeguard these vessels, highlighting broader economic vulnerabilities and reduced operational capacity.
Read More FLASHPOINT: TANKER TENSIONSThe events of May 11-19, 2025, signify a critical juncture in the Russo-Ukrainian War, highlighting Putin’s miscalculations, failed negotiations, and Ukraine’s strengthened military preparedness for upcoming confrontations, signaling a pivotal shift in the conflict.
Read More PUTIN ROLLS THE DICEThe past 25 years revealed numerous US military blunders, with implications seen in Ukraine and the Houthis. Advances in technology have shifted power dynamics, demonstrating vulnerabilities in traditional military strengths and challenging the status quo of great power superiority.
Read More THE EQUALIZATION OF POWERThe very way in which Ukraine became independent is worth anyone’s reading time. It was semi-chaotic and took the Russians completely off guard – it really wasn’t what Moscow was expecting, and the arguments over who got control of the Black Sea Fleet came close to fighting breaking out. Yet in the end the Ukrainians […]
Read More RUSSO-UKRAINIAN NEGOTIATIONSThe 80th anniversary of WW2’s end highlights America’s decline and Russia’s facade of strength amidst internal turmoil. Global conflicts persist, with Europe possibly rising to fill the power vacuum left by the faltering U.S.
Read More GLOBAL OVERVIEW: CHANGE & CONFLICTThe ongoing conflict in Ukraine continues. Russian drone & missile attacks targeting civilians increase. Ukraine is improving its defenses, producing equipment domestically, and maintaining resilience, while navigating complex international dynamics, including U.S. politics and support.
Read More WHAT NEXT FOR UKRAINE?Russia is militarizing its border with NATO, preparing for potential conflicts while maintaining ambitions for expansion. Bolstered by an aggressive economy, it seeks test case wars, notably in the Baltic, to gauge NATO’s response and exploit perceived weaknesses.
Read More RUSSIA’S NEXT WAR?The Taurus missile, featuring the advanced MEPHISTO warhead, offers precision strike capabilities. However, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz declined to supply them to Ukraine due to escalation risks. Now things have changed and the new Chancellor is going ahead.
Read More THE TAURUS CONUNDRUMEuropean defense manufacturers are thriving due to distrust in the US under Trump, prompting a shift towards domestic military procurement. The EU plans to invest €800 billion, enhancing economic growth and defense capabilities across member states.
Read More ARMING EUROPE? CAN IT GO IT ALONE?The recent loss of an F-16 emphasizes Ukraine’s growing confidence in air strikes despite risks. Ukraine aims to deny Russian advances, but challenges remain due to Russian logistics and economy, potentially leading to significant shifts in power dynamics.
Read More UKRAINIAN STRATEGY & TACTICS STYMIE RUSSIANSAchilles, a legendary Greek warrior, symbolizes invulnerability with his ‘Achilles heel.’ Russia, relying heavily on oil, faces economic disaster due to falling prices, military stalemates, and a struggle for survival amid systemic corruption and leadership failure.
Read More NOT LONG NOW: OIL IS RUSSIA’S ACHILLES HEELGeneral Cavolli’s Senate testimony highlighted concerns over U.S. military withdrawal from Europe, nuclear command issues, and shifting defense strategies. The perceived diminishing U.S. role may lead Europeans to seek self-reliance in defense procurement, significantly impacting U.S. influence.
Read More US DISENGAGING FROM NATO SPARKS AMERICAN ANGSTThe Russian economy faces significant challenges due to currency manipulation and diminishing income. While the ruble appears strong, its valuation is artificial, contributing to rising costs, inflation, and an unsustainable war economy, leading toward potential collapse.
Read More RUSSIAN ECONOMIC UPDATE: THE END IS COMINGRussia faces a dilemma between seeking a ceasefire to stabilize and pushing for immediate victory against Ukraine, believing time is limited. Meanwhile, Ukraine strengthens its military, while the U.S. struggles with ineffective diplomacy, complicating prospects for peace.
Read More RUSSIA: STRATEGIC INFLECTION POINTTalks in Saudi Arabia aim to resolve the ongoing war, but both Russia and Ukraine remain deadlocked. Ukraine’s prolonged strategies focus on gaining time and resource depletion, fully supported by Europe+ like never before. Ignoring them is a huge strategic error.
Read More UKRAINE CAN WINKissinger knew what was doing in 1971, peeling a disgruntled China from Soviet power was relatively simple. Trump hasn’t a clue what he’s doing trying to peel Russia from China in todays radically shifted geopolitical world.
Read More THE GREAT BETRAYAL: IT’S ALL ABOUT CHINAThe current geopolitical climate, particularly in space, is rapidly evolving. The U.S. satellite capabilities are limited and overshadowed by emerging commercial options, urging Europe to enhance its own satellite resources for better intelligence sharing and security.
Read More UKRAINE’S SPY SATELLITE DEPENDENCY IS OURS TOOTrump’s failure to negotiate effectively with Putin led to minimal gains for Ukraine and significant concessions to Russia. Despite this, Ukraine’s resilience and Europe’s support signal a potential shift, indicating a stronger future for Ukraine.
Read More TOTAL FAILURE: THE ART OF NO DEALEuropean nations, led by Germany and Poland, are significantly increasing defense spending in response to geopolitical pressures. A notable shift is occurring as Europe mobilizes military aid for Ukraine, signaling a newfound commitment to defense.
Read More EUROPE ISN’T WASTING TIMEPutin miscalculated the fallout from his Ukraine invasion, leading to a united Europe supporting Ukraine. Despite bluster and supply issues, Russia risks economic collapse while clinging to a prolonged conflict amidst shifting geopolitical dynamics.
Read More PUTIN CARRIES ON REGARDLESS
The Military Analyst 