FP-5 FLAMINGO UPDATE

#UkrainianView
FP-5 Flamingo is now just a month from IOC, and Ukraine starts to exceed Russian capabilities, it’s a watershed moment in the war as a whole. Meanwhile Russian system fail as budgets are slashed.

ONE WEAPON COULD CHANGE EVERYTHING FOR UKRAINE; & ITS RUSSIAN

The Russian Novotor cruise missile has a history that if Ukraine plays its cards well, could see it equipped with Tomahawks, but is also a threat to NATO

THE CRIMEA GAMBIT: UKRAINE’S STRATEGY FOR ITS RETURN

Ukraine has carried out a successful war against the Russians across Crimea, effectively neutralizing it as an operating military resource and attritting countless russian weapons and EW/radar systems at low cost. Its eventual return is the goal.

SOMETHING IS CHANGING AND RUSSIA IS LOSING

The situation in Russia is changing and I believe the war is now lost. They must now be convinced they’ve been defeated, and bring it to an end.

KINETIC SANCTIONS & ECONOMIC STRIFE

Russian’s are feeling the impact of Ukraine’s strategic strikes, the oil industry is in a mess and Russia increasingly desperate to stop the situation getting out of control.

UKRAINE’S NEW WEAPONS: RUSSIA, BE AFRAID!

Ukraine is about to receive some key weapons systems that are going to have a serious impact on the war against Russian aggression. The tables are turning.

DOES THE SSBN STILL MAKE SENSE?

The article discusses the evolving debate surrounding the necessity and effectiveness of nuclear-powered submarines (SSBNs) in the context of advancing drone technology, highlighting their costs, strategic value, and potential obsolescence in future warfare scenarios.

UKRAINE WILL WIN

The analysis highlights Trump’s inadequate support for Ukraine, contrasting it with the critical impacts of US military aid. Despite past defeats, Ukraine is now better equipped and poised for victory, thanks to increased assistance and innovative strategies.

TRUMP UNDER PRESSURE DOES THE MINIMUM

Tump blew hard but did next to nothing to help Ukraine, leaving Russia almost a four month window to exploit. Moscow rejoiced at the weak response over sanctions, but the weapons on the way to Ukraine can only hurt Russia even more.

IMPACT OF THE NORTHWOOD DECLARATION on European Security

The Northwood Declaration, signed by Macron and Starmer, establishes a significant Anglo-French nuclear partnership, affirming joint defense commitments in response to threats, while emphasizing independent capabilities. This strengthens Europe’s security amid changing global alliances and addresses Russian aggression.

WHY RUSSIA WON’T WIN

The post discusses Russia’s significant military challenges in Ukraine and its dwindling resources, contrasting historical perceptions of Russian power with current failures. It predicts Ukraine’s eventual victory, citing international support and Russia’s declining position.

TRANSFORMER:UKRAINE CHANGES WARFARE AGAIN

Ukraine’s innovative drone operations have significantly impacted modern warfare, attacking Russian strategic aviation with unprecedented effectiveness. Such bold tactics could inspire similar actions globally, urging nations to reconsider their defense strategies against unexpected threats.

EUROPE+ LOOKS TO LONG RANGE WEAPONS

The Ukraine war highlights the necessity of long-range weapons, prompting NATO and Europe+ nations to enhance their strategic arsenals. Collaborative projects like ELSA aim to develop effective systems, demonstrating urgency and cooperation amid evolving threats.

THE TAURUS CONUNDRUM

The Taurus missile, featuring the advanced MEPHISTO warhead, offers precision strike capabilities. However, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz declined to supply them to Ukraine due to escalation risks. Now things have changed and the new Chancellor is going ahead.

BIG UKRAINIAN ARMY CHANGES

The post discusses Ukraine’s military struggles and criticisms, detailing coordination issues, the implementation of Army Corps for improved command structures, and the challenges of maintaining effective communication and morale among diverse brigades during ongoing conflict.

UKRAINE CAN WIN

Talks in Saudi Arabia aim to resolve the ongoing war, but both Russia and Ukraine remain deadlocked. Ukraine’s prolonged strategies focus on gaining time and resource depletion, fully supported by Europe+ like never before. Ignoring them is a huge strategic error.

UKRAINE’S SPY SATELLITE DEPENDENCY IS OURS TOO

The current geopolitical climate, particularly in space, is rapidly evolving. The U.S. satellite capabilities are limited and overshadowed by emerging commercial options, urging Europe to enhance its own satellite resources for better intelligence sharing and security.

NUKES ARE THE ANSWER – MANY SEE NO CHOICE

The return of Cold War tensions is disappointing, with nations like Poland considering nuclear arms due to distrust in American support. As global dynamics shift, nuclear proliferation may increase, posing serious implications for future security.

EUROPE+: THE NEW AGE OF EUROPEAN DEFENCE TAKES SHAPE

In a week of significant political turmoil, Ukraine’s ally responses crystallized amid concerns over America’s NATO involvement. Calls for a more independent European defense framework emerged, highlighting the need for institutional reforms and enhanced military capabilities.

EUROPE STANDS UP: DEFENCE IS ITS PRIORITY

European leaders are collaborating on defense strategies, focusing on Ukraine, as the UK plans to enhance military capabilities. The EU’s €800 billion plan seeks to bolster NATO and support Ukraine, despite challenges from the US.

RUSSIANS HIT BY UKRAINIANS AT POKROVSK

In recent special operations, Ukrainian forces regained key positions near Pokrovsk, addressing issues in troop leadership and morale. While facing effective Russian attacks, they consider strategies to improve defense against glide bombs and sustain control.

47 UPENDS DECADES OF NUCLEAR DOCTRINE

The “Iron Dome for America” Executive Order mandates a comprehensive missile defense system, reflecting significant defense ambitions. This escalation intensifies the nuclear arms race, motivating countries like Russia and China to expand their arsenals, heightening global tensions.

AMERICAN DEFENSE – LIKE IT OR NOT WHAT THEY SPEND MATTERS

The new Congress plans to increase defense spending by $200 billion but faces funding challenges and potential cuts. Congress debates the necessity of large carriers versus smaller, more versatile platforms amid rising concerns over efficiency and competition with China.

CHINA: TAIWAN INVASION IS INEVITABLE

The Chinese military is rapidly advancing towards an invasion capability of Taiwan, driven by economic turmoil, with military preparation expected to peak by 2027. Taiwan’s defenses face substantial challenges amid growing geopolitical tensions.

THE AIR WAR: CAN UKRAINE CHANGE ANYTHING?

This article analyzes the current status and effectiveness of Ukraine’s air force, detailing various aircraft in service, their limitations, and the challenges faced in achieving air superiority against Russian forces amidst ongoing conflict.

UKRAINIAN DETERRENCE

The content discusses various levels of deterrence in the Ukraine-Russia conflict, highlighting Ukraine’s effective strategies, such as naval operations and attacks on Crimea, which have significantly altered Russia’s military posture and capabilities.

US LONG RANGE STRIKE STRATEGY

China and Russia’s advancements in hypersonic weapons have shifted military strategies, prompting the U.S. to develop systems like Dark Eagle for deterrence against emerging threats, particularly in the Pacific and Europe.

UKRAINE’S MID-LONG RANGE STRATEGY

Ukraine’s missile and drone strategy has rapidly evolved in response to the war, developing advanced capabilities and targeting key Russian assets, fundamentally altering future warfare concepts, and providing lessons for Western militaries on agility and innovation in arms development.

WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 3

In this last segment I want to look at three issues that will determine if China can even mount an invasion of Taiwan. China is economically in the worst position it’s been in since 1980. The property market, at one point driving 25% of its GDP has fallen into collapse. Giant property companies like Evergrand […]

WAR IN THE PACIFIC? Part 1

The US-China relationship is marked by economic interdependence and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly over Taiwan and the South China Sea. With the US enhancing military presence and weapons systems in the region, the situation remains precarious.

AUKUS UPS ITS GAME

The AUKUS framework has progressed beyond the submarine deal to include the HyFliTE Project.

THE AIR OF DESPERATION HANGS OVER RUSSIA

This weekend gone has been one of increasing desperation for Russia. The Kursk salient has been a catastrophic graveyard of Russian ambitions. Overwhelmed by tough defences, lack of equipment, lack of manpower, terrible planning and bad commanders, all under huge pressure from Putin personally. The mud has finally arrived and the weather is worse along […]

UKRAINE’S DEFENCE STRATEGIES AGAINST IRBM MISSILES

What can Ukraine use to defend itself from IRBM type missiles? First of all we have to look at what the Russians are using. It appears to be a derivative of the RS-26 Rubezh missile the Russians are calling Orezhnik. This appears to be the upper two propulsion stages and the warhead bus. In range […]

UKRAINE COUNTER ATTACKS AS RUSSIAN OFFENSIVES SLOW

The weather has worsened. Russian casualty figures have dropped to their lowest in weeks. Daylight hours are approaching minimum. The cold is having its effect especially on the notoriously poorly equipped Russians. Over the past couple of days the Ukrainians have pulled off a brilliant counter attack, slicing off the Russian pincer move in the […]

THE RS26 RUBEZH IRBM

RS-26 Rubezh Overview The RS-26 Rubezh, also known as SS-X-31, (the x designates NATO considers it an experiment missile), is a Russian intercontinental ballistic missile in theory but an IRBM in practice, developed by the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology. It is a road-mobile, solid-fueled missile designed for strategic nuclear deterrence and high-precision strikes on […]

ATACMS

A quick guide to ATACMS

THE LONG RANGE MISSILE AUTHORISATION ANALYSED

This article was written by The Analyst, for the Military & Strategic Telegram Channel. The decision that came around 4pm in Washington DC and was quickly disseminated to relevant governments, then made public, has profound implications on one hand, if Russia is to be believed. On the other hand it’s just as likely to have […]