FP-5 FLAMINGO UPDATE

#UkrainianView
FP-5 Flamingo is now just a month from IOC, and Ukraine starts to exceed Russian capabilities, it’s a watershed moment in the war as a whole. Meanwhile Russian system fail as budgets are slashed.

ONE WEAPON COULD CHANGE EVERYTHING FOR UKRAINE; & ITS RUSSIAN

The Russian Novotor cruise missile has a history that if Ukraine plays its cards well, could see it equipped with Tomahawks, but is also a threat to NATO

RUSSIA’S NUCLEAR LUNACY

The Russians measure their worth by nuclear weapons. They have done for nearly 80 years. It merely masks their innate inadequacies. Yet its the most dangerous and potentially worrying aspect of their approach to the world around them.

THE CRIMEA GAMBIT: UKRAINE’S STRATEGY FOR ITS RETURN

Ukraine has carried out a successful war against the Russians across Crimea, effectively neutralizing it as an operating military resource and attritting countless russian weapons and EW/radar systems at low cost. Its eventual return is the goal.

DANGER: PREPARING FOR THE WRONG WAR

The Analyst emphasizes the importance of understanding historical conflicts and their implications on current military strategies, arguing for proactive adaptations in warfare technology, particularly emphasizing the evolving role of drones and the need for constant development in defense systems.

SOMETHING IS CHANGING AND RUSSIA IS LOSING

The situation in Russia is changing and I believe the war is now lost. They must now be convinced they’ve been defeated, and bring it to an end.

UKRAINE’S NEW WEAPONS: RUSSIA, BE AFRAID!

Ukraine is about to receive some key weapons systems that are going to have a serious impact on the war against Russian aggression. The tables are turning.

CHINA: THE THREAT IS REAL

The threat from China and its single minded approach to produce the war equipment it needs to win against the US & its allies in the event of a conflict over Taiwan is a stark contrast to America. How is America ever expecting to save Taiwan?

DOES THE SSBN STILL MAKE SENSE?

The article discusses the evolving debate surrounding the necessity and effectiveness of nuclear-powered submarines (SSBNs) in the context of advancing drone technology, highlighting their costs, strategic value, and potential obsolescence in future warfare scenarios.

UKRAINE WILL WIN

The analysis highlights Trump’s inadequate support for Ukraine, contrasting it with the critical impacts of US military aid. Despite past defeats, Ukraine is now better equipped and poised for victory, thanks to increased assistance and innovative strategies.

TRUMP UNDER PRESSURE DOES THE MINIMUM

Tump blew hard but did next to nothing to help Ukraine, leaving Russia almost a four month window to exploit. Moscow rejoiced at the weak response over sanctions, but the weapons on the way to Ukraine can only hurt Russia even more.

IMPACT OF THE NORTHWOOD DECLARATION on European Security

The Northwood Declaration, signed by Macron and Starmer, establishes a significant Anglo-French nuclear partnership, affirming joint defense commitments in response to threats, while emphasizing independent capabilities. This strengthens Europe’s security amid changing global alliances and addresses Russian aggression.

IRAN: WHO WON? LONG TERM CONSEQUENCES

Who won the Iran-Israel conflict? What lessons have been learned and are they the right ones? The world enters a dangerous phase in human existence, stress at every point could lead to dangerous conflict almost anywhere.

THE EQUALIZATION OF POWER

The past 25 years revealed numerous US military blunders, with implications seen in Ukraine and the Houthis. Advances in technology have shifted power dynamics, demonstrating vulnerabilities in traditional military strengths and challenging the status quo of great power superiority.

GLOBAL OVERVIEW: CHANGE & CONFLICT

The 80th anniversary of WW2’s end highlights America’s decline and Russia’s facade of strength amidst internal turmoil. Global conflicts persist, with Europe possibly rising to fill the power vacuum left by the faltering U.S.

EUROPE+ LOOKS TO LONG RANGE WEAPONS

The Ukraine war highlights the necessity of long-range weapons, prompting NATO and Europe+ nations to enhance their strategic arsenals. Collaborative projects like ELSA aim to develop effective systems, demonstrating urgency and cooperation amid evolving threats.

THE TAURUS CONUNDRUM

The Taurus missile, featuring the advanced MEPHISTO warhead, offers precision strike capabilities. However, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz declined to supply them to Ukraine due to escalation risks. Now things have changed and the new Chancellor is going ahead.

ARMING EUROPE? CAN IT GO IT ALONE?

European defense manufacturers are thriving due to distrust in the US under Trump, prompting a shift towards domestic military procurement. The EU plans to invest €800 billion, enhancing economic growth and defense capabilities across member states.

UKRAINE CAN WIN

Talks in Saudi Arabia aim to resolve the ongoing war, but both Russia and Ukraine remain deadlocked. Ukraine’s prolonged strategies focus on gaining time and resource depletion, fully supported by Europe+ like never before. Ignoring them is a huge strategic error.

THE NOT SO ROCKY ROAD AHEAD FOR UKRAINE

The U.S. aims for peace with Russia, compromising Ukraine’s military support. Ukraine, while producing more arms domestically, struggles without American intelligence. European backing remains strong, but the future is uncertain amidst ongoing pressures and demands.

THE NUCLEAR PROBLEM: EUROPE, UKRAINE & US WITHDRAWAL

The potential U.S. military withdrawal from Europe raises concerns about nuclear deterrence, necessitating European collaboration. France and the UK may need to integrate their nuclear capabilities, while Ukraine contemplates developing its own deterrent amid ongoing threats.

INDIA: RISING GREAT POWER, CHINESE RIVAL

India’s defense budget increased by 9.5% to $78.8 billion, but only $22 billion is available for new equipment due to high personnel costs. The military faces challenges from China and Pakistan amid evolving geopolitical dynamics.

CHINA: TAIWAN INVASION IS INEVITABLE

The Chinese military is rapidly advancing towards an invasion capability of Taiwan, driven by economic turmoil, with military preparation expected to peak by 2027. Taiwan’s defenses face substantial challenges amid growing geopolitical tensions.

UKRAINIAN DETERRENCE

The content discusses various levels of deterrence in the Ukraine-Russia conflict, highlighting Ukraine’s effective strategies, such as naval operations and attacks on Crimea, which have significantly altered Russia’s military posture and capabilities.

NATO’s TACTICAL NUCLEAR UPGRADE

On December 18, 2024, the U.S. completed a $9 billion nuclear warhead upgrade, modernizing the B-61-12. Despite various safeguards, NATO’s consensus requirement for use complicates effective deterrence against Russian threats in crisis situations.

KURSK COUNTER OFFENSIVE!

Ukrainian forces launched counterattacks in Kursk Oblast, utilizing coordinated ground tactics and advanced drone operations, while facing Russian counteroffensives. This dynamic situation suggests potential strategic significance for both sides, with implications for future military engagement.

US LONG RANGE STRIKE STRATEGY

China and Russia’s advancements in hypersonic weapons have shifted military strategies, prompting the U.S. to develop systems like Dark Eagle for deterrence against emerging threats, particularly in the Pacific and Europe.

UKRAINE’S MID-LONG RANGE STRATEGY

Ukraine’s missile and drone strategy has rapidly evolved in response to the war, developing advanced capabilities and targeting key Russian assets, fundamentally altering future warfare concepts, and providing lessons for Western militaries on agility and innovation in arms development.

FRONTLINES CONTINUE TO RETREAT UNDER PRESSURE

The current military situation in Ukraine remains tense, with significant Russian advances near Pokrovsk amidst heavy casualties. External geopolitical dynamics, especially concerning American aid and domestic pressure on Putin, further complicate the unfolding conflict.

LESSONS FOR N.KOREA COME HARD IN UKRAINE

North Korean troops, sold to Russia, are being integrated into Russian units, causing significant communication and operational challenges. The situation reflects Russia’s desperate manpower shortages, impacting their military effectiveness amidst Ukraine’s strategic advancements.

WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 3

In this last segment I want to look at three issues that will determine if China can even mount an invasion of Taiwan. China is economically in the worst position it’s been in since 1980. The property market, at one point driving 25% of its GDP has fallen into collapse. Giant property companies like Evergrand […]

WAR IN THE PACIFIC? PART 2

The relationship between the U.S. and China reflects trade imbalances, tariffs, and strategic conflicts, with China leveraging its economic power globally while expanding its military capabilities and rare earth element control, posing significant challenges for American competitiveness and security.

AUKUS UPS ITS GAME

The AUKUS framework has progressed beyond the submarine deal to include the HyFliTE Project.

UKRAINE’S DEFENCE STRATEGIES AGAINST IRBM MISSILES

What can Ukraine use to defend itself from IRBM type missiles? First of all we have to look at what the Russians are using. It appears to be a derivative of the RS-26 Rubezh missile the Russians are calling Orezhnik. This appears to be the upper two propulsion stages and the warhead bus. In range […]

UKRAINE COUNTER ATTACKS AS RUSSIAN OFFENSIVES SLOW

The weather has worsened. Russian casualty figures have dropped to their lowest in weeks. Daylight hours are approaching minimum. The cold is having its effect especially on the notoriously poorly equipped Russians. Over the past couple of days the Ukrainians have pulled off a brilliant counter attack, slicing off the Russian pincer move in the […]

THE RS26 RUBEZH IRBM

RS-26 Rubezh Overview The RS-26 Rubezh, also known as SS-X-31, (the x designates NATO considers it an experiment missile), is a Russian intercontinental ballistic missile in theory but an IRBM in practice, developed by the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology. It is a road-mobile, solid-fueled missile designed for strategic nuclear deterrence and high-precision strikes on […]

ATACMS

A quick guide to ATACMS

THE LONG RANGE MISSILE AUTHORISATION ANALYSED

This article was written by The Analyst, for the Military & Strategic Telegram Channel. The decision that came around 4pm in Washington DC and was quickly disseminated to relevant governments, then made public, has profound implications on one hand, if Russia is to be believed. On the other hand it’s just as likely to have […]